Sustained Economic Growth is Confidence in the Future
Rustam Abdullayev
Cabinet of Ministers of Uzbekistan has convened
to review the nation’s socioeconomic development in 2009 and outline key
priorities of economic program for 2010.
Economic growth notwithstanding the global
crisis
President
Islam Karimov’s speech at the meeting can be regarded as a policy document that,
apart from revisiting the year 2009, provided a thorough and objective analysis
of factors that have enabled such a considerable progress amid thorny
conditions of the ongoing global economic slowdown. In addition, the priorities
for socioeconomic development in 2010 are considered a continuation of
successive reforms with taking into account the trends in the global economy in
terms of their impact on Uzbekistan’s
economic performance.
In his
report, the head of nation noted that the chosen development strategy is aimed
at upgrading and modernizing the country, mobilization of forces and
capabilities to implement the approved Anti Crisis Program for 2009-2012.
According to President, not only has the approach helped confront the
challenges of the global downturn in 2009, but it also ensured sustained economic
growth and social development, notable progress in prosperity and welfare of the
population.
The argument
is backed by both experts and analysts in Uzbekistan and abroad as well as
representatives of prestigious international financial institutions. The latter
have expressed their appreciation of the Uzbek model of economic reforms and have
keenly studied its principles and methods.
Macroeconomic
stability and sustained economic growth in difficult conditions of the global
financial crisis have suggested yet another indisputable testimony to the
correctness of the chosen economic course based on five fundamental principles of
economic reforms.
An ample
proof of this is shown in economic indicators in 2009: GDP growth was 8.1%,
volume of industrial production - 9%, agriculture – 5.7%, retail trade rose by
16.6%, paid services increased by 12, 9%. State budget was executed with a
surplus without reducing the budgeted expenditures, and inflation did not
exceed the forecast parameters and equaled 7.4%. Measures taken to strengthen
the financial and banking system have allowed the country to increase the
aggregate bank capital twofold in two past years and raise the share of bank
loans for investment purposes up to 70%.
These
figures say about hundreds of modern enterprise opened in the economy,
thousands of new jobs, available large-scale investment opportunities, huge
funds channeled to the social sphere, substantial increase in people’s living
standards.
All this is
happening when many countries are concerned mostly of surviving in conditions of
the ongoing global financial crisis, preventing the collapse of economy,
mitigating its effects as much as possible and seizing the growing unemployment
rate.
At the same
time, Uzbekistan,
who is actively integrating into the global economy, is well aware that the
crisis also presented and continues to pose serious threats to our country.
Therefore, the republic has timely adopted a package of anti-crisis solutions
designed not for one but three years.
The Anti Crisis
Program includes measures ensuring stable and uninterrupted operation of financial,
economic, fiscal, banking and credit systems, practical steps to help
businesses, manufacturing sectors of economy and social support for the
population.
This large
complex of measures directs special attention at strengthening the financial
and banking system as a basic ingredient of sustainable development of the
economy.
As a
result, the banking system of Uzbekistan has not only remained one of the most stable
ones, meeting strict international requirements, but also has steadfast
positions in a number of established standards.
Turn back to
the data announced at the meeting of the government: the level of capital
adequacy of banks exceeds 23%, which is almost three times higher than
international standards set by the Basel Committee. Fourteen commercial banks
in the republic whose assets in aggregate constitute more than 90% of the
banking system have received high ratings of “stable” from leading
international rating agencies such as Fitch Ratings, Moody’s and Standard &
Poor’s.
As a
result, banks play the role of an essential source of long-term investment
resources for the entire economy.
Uzbekistan has actively been attracting
external investment, yet largely on long-term basis, exclusively for financing
investment projects on modernization of strategic economic sectors, supporting
small businesses and private entrepreneurship.
The total
volume of credit resources directed to the manufacturing sector of the economy
grew 14 times in 2009 as compared to 2000. The share of bank loans for
investment purposes amounted to about 70% in the total loan portfolio.
Banks of
the country are actively involved in efforts to eliminate low-profit,
economically insolvent enterprises, including through taking bankrupt companies
on their balance. As a result, today 70 of insolvent enterprises transferred to
the balance of commercial banks, have fully restored the production and are sold
to prospective investors.
As a result
of serious measures undertaken to support and encoura ge domestic exporting
enterprises in the face of too unfavorable situation on world markets, exports
grew by 2.4%.
Measures
taken to ensure financial sustainability and support the real sector
enterprises, primarily through the modernization of production, expansion of
cooperation, establishment of permanent partnership relations, stimulation of
domestic demand for the products of domestic manufacturers, were of great
importance.
In 2009,
the localized production increased 2.3-fold, production of more than 120 new goods
was started.
The state consistently
pursued a policy of structural change and economic diversification,
modernization and technological renewal of production, attraction of foreign
investment especially direct one. In 2009, new production capacities were introduced
in the automobile, construction materials, chemical, food processing, textile
industry, pharmaceutical industry and others. Road and rail transport systems
and telecommunications were actively developed.
Last year, business
entities of the republic enjoyed a wide range of value added tax and customs
privileges that suggested additional stimuli for them.
Particular
attention was paid to supporting small and entrepreneurial businesses. In the
long run, there is further gradual increase of the share of small businesses in
the country’s GDP. Today, small business entities constitute about 50% of gross
domestic product against 30% in 2000.
As reported
at the meeting, 690 investment projects started in 2009 under the Investment
Program and sectoral programs of technical modernization, of which 303 have
successfully completed. In general, 22 large production facilities were commissioned
in the republic, including eight facilities in oil and gas, chemical,
metallurgical industry, nine in machine engineering, and five in construction
industry.
Economic accomplishments lead to general
welfare
Uzbekistan’s economy is characterized by high
priority given to the social sphere. In 2009, $2.5 billion, or 27.8% of total
capital investments drawn in 2009 was channeled for these purposes.
The country
has almost completed the implementation of two major social programs – national
professional training program and school education development program. An
integrated system of continuous education that includes secondary 9-year
schooling and 3-year special professional education, which means a complete
transition to 12-year education that provides children, along with general
education, with a particular profession. As analysts say, these are quite
pragmatic and forward-looking steps the country has taken to form highly
qualified personnel that will certainly give a powerful impetus to economic
development in the coming years, drastically increase the investment attractiveness
of Uzbekistan.
Another
important result achieved last year was more than 940,000 new jobs created
thanks to the anti-crisis measures, about 500,000 of which were created in
rural areas.
As a result
of measures taken to raise wages, pensions, stipends and allowances, reduction
of tax rates on individuals’ income, decrease in inflation, total and real
incomes of the population have significantly increased as consumer demand has
steadily grown in recent years. Thus, as compared to 2000, last year the
average wages increased 28.5 times, pension rose almost 18 times, cash income
per capita grew 12 times. As a result, the population has increased
expenditures for non-food industrial durable goods. If in 2008 the population
purchased 80,000 cars of domestic production, in 2009 this figure had doubled and
reached 160,000.
Priorities for 2010
At its
meeting, the Cabinet of Ministers identified key priorities for socioeconomic
development of the country for 2010. Their major goal is to continue and deepen
reforming, upgrading and modernization of the country, achieve high and
sustainable growth of economy, efficiency and macroeconomic balance.
Uzbekistan has set new objectives in 2010. In particular, it is
projected to provide 108.3% growth in GDP and industrial production and 105%
growth in agriculture, achieve 30% of GDP growth in investment in the economy.
The aim is to increase exports by 8.5%, significantly change its structure by
increasing the share of finished products with high added value.
The government
is tasked to carry on expanding and establishing stable cooperation relations
between enterprises, involving small businesses and private entrepreneurs in
the process.
Expansion
of the scope of services provided to the population is of great importance.
The country’s
leadership has called for an active investment policy for the implementation of
strategically important projects aimed at modernization, technical and
technological renovation of leading basic industries, development of powerful modern
network of transport and communications infrastructure.
The top
priorities for 2010 include a program of accelerated development and
construction of housing and social infrastructure in rural areas. Within the
Investment Program for 2010, it is envisaged to issue over 250 billion soums of
concessional loans to residents through a specially established Qishloq
Qurilish Bank, which is more than 4 times as much as was provided in 2009. In 2010, it is
projected to construct 7,630 homes in all 159 rural areas with an estimated cost
of over 470 billion soums.
It is
noteworthy that the program includes not only the construction of modern and
comfortable cottages, but also the creation of modern systems of residential
areas, including kindergartens, secondary, music and arts schools, sports
facilities, medical units, services points, modern roads, in short, everything necessary
for a comfortable life of the rural population.
In 2010, it
is scheduled to create more than 950,000 new jobs in the country. Of these,
about half will be open through the creation of small businesses, micro-firms,
development of individual entrepreneurship, services, increasing the volume of
contract construction, including repair and reconstruction of housing.
All of
these ambitious goals are achievable as they are based on an unbiased
assessment of all the achievements of the past year, effectiveness of the Anti Crisis
Program for 2009-2012, gradual reforms and sustainable development of the
economy.
Anti crisis measures and social support
Mamazoir Hujamberdiev, chairman of the
Committee on Science, Education, Culture and Sports, Senate of Oliy Majlis of
the Republic of Uzbekistan:
In 2009,
the Senate passed a resolution “On the role and responsibility of local
authorities for the unconditional implementation of the Anti Crisis Program for
2009-2012”.
In accordance with the document, a special commission was created that
carefully studied during the past year the progress of anti-crisis measures in regions.
As monitoring
showed, in general from April 2009 local councils of people’s representatives
have done a great job in this direction. At sessions of the councils and meetings
of their standing committees, people’s representatives review reports of heads
of local government responsible for the practical realization of territorial
and sectoral Anti Crisis Program.
A policy of
close cooperation and coordination among local bodies of representative power
and territorial government and economic bodies is implemented all across the
country.
On the background
the sharp cuts in social programs observed in many countries, on the contrary Uzbekistan prioritizes
today social protection of population and development in this field. This was
possible thanks to the adopted and implemented Anti Crisis Program, joint efforts
of public authorities, small and private businesses and investors. Only through
coordinated efforts at various levels of government, we will maximize
implementation of legislative mechanisms and principles established for the
development of the country.
The
progress achieved in the country in socioeconomic development is a bright
confirmation of the effectiveness of generally recognized “Uzbek Model” based
in five fundamental principles of development of the country, initiated in
early years of independence by the president of Uzbekistan. The major
distinguishing feature of the socioeconomic development has been and is the
principle of “reforms not for the sake of reforms but for people”, and improving
their welfare. Thus, over the past year, real incomes have increased by 26.5%,
growth in average wages, pensions and benefits averaged 40%. Another important
result of last year was more than 940,000 new jobs created under the
anti-crisis measures, this year there will be more 950,000 jobs created.
Long-term investment in the future
Botir
Nurullaev, deputy chairman, National Bank for Foreign Economic Activity of the Republic of Uzbekistan:
National
Bank for Foreign Economic Activity is considered to be a locomotive of the
banking system of Uzbekistan.
To date, our loans are involved in virtually all sectors of national economy.
85 percent of them are long-term credits that provide the construction of new
enterprises, reconstruction, modernization and expansion of existing
industries, organization of new production facilities.
In
particular, in 2009, the bank opened funding of a project of modernization of
Navoi TPP with the construction of combined-cycle plant. Credit funds of the
National Bank of Foreign Economic Activity provide a good impetus to the
construction of high-voltage power lines Ghuzor-Surkhon and automatic
transformer at Surkhon substation.
Much of the
credit facilities are aimed at developing oil and gas industry. The bank started
financing the modernization of the Uzbekneftegaz’s fleet of drilling rigs,
which will increase the average daily volumes of gas and oil production; opened
funding of a project of construction of gas dehydration at Kungrad compressor
station and construction of gas pipeline between Ohangaron and Pungan through Qamchiq Pass. Our bank helps implement an
important project of construction of an installation of propane-butane mixture for
increasing the production of liquefied gas at Muborak Gas Processing Plant.
Particular
attention is paid to the development of communication systems: railways, roads
and aviation.
The bank
finances projects aimed at improving the quality of reclaimed land and increasing
their fertility in the agricultural sector.
In other words,
the bank’s efforts are aimed at creating new, high-tech industries with
advanced technologies and promoting deep processing of our raw materials,
increasing the country’s export potential, creating new jobs and strengthening
the economic potential of the national economy.
Fresh investment to manufacturing
Shuhrat
Yakubov, deputy chairman of board, Sanoatqurilishbank:
Implementation
of an active investment policy of strategically important projects in
construction, modernization, technical and technological re-equipment of the
leading industries is one of the priorities of Sanoatqurilishbank. Bank investments
facilitate the creation of new and modernization of existing facilities in the
oil and gas sector, energy, chemical industry and in other basic sectors of the
economy. Seventy one percent of our bank’s loan portfolio consists of long-term
investment loans. This fact was highlighted by the president at a government
meeting on the results of socioeconomic development of Uzbekistan in
2009 and objectives for 2010.
We believe
that this high evaluation imposes an even greater responsibility on us in the
unconditional implementation of the priorities identified for 2010. First of
all, we see their implementation in the financing of the program of modernization,
technical and technological rearmament for 2009-2014, which included dozens of
strategic investment projects of great importance for bringing out our economy
to a leading position. In 2010, the country will begin constructing new large
production facilities. Ustyurt Gas Chemical Complex is to be constructed on the
basis of Surgil gas field for the production of polyethylene and propylene,
units of Yangi Angren TPP are to be
transferred to year-round coal combustion, Dehqonobod potash fertilizer plant will
be expanded and several other projects will be carried out in to direct
participation of Sanoatqurilishbank.
Construction
and commissioning of objects in manufacturing sector will ensure new jobs, and
thus income growth, increase in the capacity of domestic industries.
Chemical complex boosts capacities
Shamil
Shaymardanov, head of investment projects and localization department, O’zkimyosanoat:
At a
government’s meeting on the results of 2009 and targets for 2010, the head of
state highlighted completion of such strategic projects as the reconstruction
of ammonia units at Farg’onaazot and Maxam-Chirchiq enterprises. It is a good
springboard for the basic industry, whose development is a priority in the
current stage and plays a key role in agro-industrial complex. Ammonia is a basic
product for the production of mineral fertilizers and other chemical products.
Modernization and reconstruction of large AM-76 ammonia units at two companies gives
strong push to break the chemical industry to a new level, ensuring its
competitiveness in the global market.
Currently, eleven
investment projects are carried out in the industry under a long-term program of
modernization and technical renovation for 2009-2014. The program covers the
construction of large industrial complexes of ammonia, urea, polyvinyl chloride
and caustic soda in Navoi region, expansion of production capacities of Dehqonobod
potash fertilizer plant. On the agenda there are establishment of production of
synthetic detergents at Ammofos-Maxam JSC and other projects.
Their
implementation will give a serious impetus for the further development of
chemical industry, strengthen position of Uzbekistan,
which has the most powerful complex in Central Asia,
on the global chemical market.
Raising the quality of life is the foremost
priority
Sherzod
Kudbiev, deputy head of analysis and labor market regulations, Ministry of Human
Resources and Social Security:
Implementation
of the vital objectives of creating new jobs and ensuring steady rise in living
standards is an important component of reforms in the country. Head of our state
on January 29 at the meeting of the Cabinet of Ministers cited remarkable
figures: more than 940,000 new jobs were created in the country in 2009, about
500,000 of which in rural areas. More than 390,000 new jobs are created in
small business sector, including more than 270,000 in the services
sector. Each new workplace is the growth of real income and employment.
This is
primarily the result of well thought-out measures aimed at development and
improvement of business climate in the country, tax benefits and financial
preferences for small business and private entrepreneurship, greater use of outwork.
Of particular importance are issues of balancing the internal market of the
growing population’s demand with the volumes of consumer goods manufactured at domestic
enterprises, increasing their range, reliable saturation of the domestic
consumer market.
Everything
is interconnected in the economy: the growth in prosperity and well-being
promotes sustainable rates of economic and social development.
Amplifying production and perfecting the quality
Ahmadjon Hojakulov, head of department, O’zqurilishmateriallari:
In 2009, O’zqurilishmateriallari
took active steps to support and ensure stable operation of the real sector
enterprises, reduce production cost and stimulate domestic demand for the
products of domestic manufacturers of goods. Following the outcomes of 2009,
the total industrial output amounted to 892.3 billion soums, or 104.2% of the
forecast parameters.
Nearly $48
million of foreign investment and loans were attracted last year under the
Investment Program.
In
accordance with the presidential decree “On additional measures to stimulate
increased production and improve quality of construction materials” the company
carried out 68 new investment projects in regions of the republic in 2009.
O’zqurilishmateriallari
will continue the modernization of production and introduction of energy- and
resource-saving technologies in 2010. Currently, there are 4 projects are
scheduled for implementation, including upgrading of the current production
with the construction of a new cement line with the capacity of 850,000 tons of
clinker per year at Bekobodcement; construction of a cement plant in the
Republic of Karakalpakstan. In addition, there is a project of a ceramic tile
production facility with that capacity of 1.5 million square meters per year at
Tash KSM.